Is This the End of Gold… or the Opportunity of the Cycle?
Praise be Jesus.
Many of you have reached out asking the same question: Is this the end for gold and silver? After this recent sell-off, it’s a fair concern. But as we look more closely, we don’t believe the cycle is over. In fact, this may be one of those rare moments that, in hindsight, investors wish they had leaned into.
The key point is this: the fundamentals have not weakened. America’s debt problem hasn’t improved. Global conflict is increasing. Inflation continues to erode purchasing power. None of the underlying reasons to own gold and silver have gone away. So why the drop?
What we believe is happening is largely technical—and possibly even intentional. There are documented cases of firms using complex trading strategies to push prices lower while profiting from the decline through derivatives. These patterns tend to show up especially around month-end, where we are right now, and can create short-term distortions that don’t reflect reality.
But markets can only be pushed so far for so long. History is clear on that.
What’s especially notable right now is sentiment. Investors are selling metals at levels we haven’t seen in years, and bearishness is extremely high. When almost everyone is negative, that’s often when opportunity is closest. The crowd tends to get it wrong at the extremes.
At the same time, we’re seeing real cracks forming elsewhere. Private credit funds are beginning to restrict withdrawals. Major institutions are acknowledging that asset values may be overstated. Private equity firms are struggling to sell companies at expected prices. These are not small signals—they are warning signs.
And yet, most portfolios remain dramatically under-allocated to gold. Ray Dalio has pointed out that many Americans hold less than 1%, when historically something closer to 15% has been needed for proper balance.
So we come back to a simple question: what if we’re wrong? If metals have truly peaked, then it would mean our debt problems are about to be solved, the dollar is strengthening, and financial markets are entering a stable and prosperous period. That’s possible—but history suggests it’s unlikely.
This is why moments like this matter. If everything goes right, gold still holds value. But if the pressures we’re seeing continue, gold and silver become far more than an investment—they become protection.
And not just any exposure. Physical metals, held outside of the financial system, remove counterparty risk. They are tangible, time-tested, and aligned with what Scripture has long pointed us toward—real value that endures.
As we record this, there is also growing concern about global conflict. So we would leave you with this: our response should not only be financial, but spiritual. We are called to pray, to fast, and to ask for protection for those in harm’s way.
Moments like this are uncomfortable—but they are also where wisdom is formed. If you’ve been waiting for an opportunity to strengthen your position, this may be it.
Because in times like these, what you hold matters—but what you trust matters even more.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.